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Why Am I Always One Step Behind?
“If I investigated my money to the real estate back then, I’m already a billionaire now.”
“There’s nothing special with Jimmy, we both saw the bright future of AI. It’s only because he graduated two years earlier than me. Otherwise, I must be the CEO of a biotech-AI startup now!”
I summarize them as two major types of complaints about “why I’m one step behind the true success.”
1) I was able to, but I didn’t see it.
2) I did see it, but I was not able to.
The basic assumption of these complaints is that the people who succeeded had both the ability and the insight at the same time, plus it was the right time. This assumption will simply lead to the conclusion that “they are lucky, but I’m not”.
I used to be one of those people who complain about “bad luck” hundreds of thousands of times until I realized I was wrong.
I realized I was wrong because I collected sufficient data points from my own experience and from a data-science point of view, the luck’s probability distribution to me was too wired to be real.
